13 July 2012

The Politics of Outside Business In Mizoram

By Sinlung

Time and again we see Mizo NGO's making news 'No Foreign Business', 'Ram le Hnam Humhalh', stopping outsiders from opening up business.

I'm write not to question the motive. I want to understand what Mizo NGO's think business is?

From my understanding of the whole situation - all the Mizo NGO's want to stop is the distribution, such as small enterprises (read shops) and they have done it, Mizo NGO's have regulated permit for shops. But is this business the business they are tying to stop - The distribution.

Or Are the Mizo NGO's after manufacturers such as Maruti Suzuki, Sony, Proctor & Gamble, Samsung, Nokia.

What is their motive?

Matter-of-Factually speaking, Mizoram does not have any known enterprise, although there are some industries - there are but Small & Medium Business as compared to businesses in the same area. So if you don't have any manufacturing industries...The Best you can do is import.

Yes, Mizo NGO's can't stop import because these goods are essential to Mizo's and Mizoram. Without proper LPG supply, Mizoram goes up in arms against the government. 

It looks as though the whole issue is- from a newsperson point of view...'You are shooting the messenger, instead of the shooting the news-maker.' Isn't this stupid?

I don't condone to Mainland Indians opening shops in Mizoram, but does it really matter: as the money goes out of Mizoram anyway, whether from a Mizo or Non-Mizo traders.

Shouldn't the focus be on: The flow of money out of Mizoram?

Another twist in the tale is that, Mizo NGO's never talk of Mizo from outside Mizoram remitting money back to Mizoram.  What if all states of India and countries around the world did not allow to remit money to Mizoram?

What if all states of India have the same motive and bent of mind as Mizo NGO's? Would Mizo's working in mainland India be happy?

Think about it? Lets not make policies that feel like the 'frog in the well 'story.

Mizo Zirlai Pawl To Conduct Census Of 'Foreigners'

Aizawl, Jul 13 : Mizo Zirlai Pawl (MZP) or Mizo Students' Federation on Thursday decided to conduct a census of the population of "foreigners" in Mizoram, especially Chakmas, who, it alleged, illegally migrated to the state.

At a meeting of its Federal Council at Tlabung, a town in Lunglei district along the the Mizoram-Bangladesh border, the MZP also urged the Chakma Autonomous District Council authorities to allow only bona fide residents to settle in the state while implementing resettlement of people displaced by Indo-Bangladesh border fencing.

The students' body also decided to take steps to ensure that Mizo couples produce more children to preserve their ethnicity, a source said.

SFI JNU Expulsion: Disaster For CPM, Good For Campus Politics

By Pallavi Polanki

New Delhi: The unprecedented move by the CPM to disband SFI-JNU for not toeing the party line could well turn out to be the beleaguered student body’s best hope yet for political redemption on campus.
Increasingly isolated and electorally marginalized – a downslide set off by its decision to defend CPM’s positions on Singur and Nandigram – SFI-JNU seems to have been struggling for some years now to stay relevant in the JNU’s political landscape.
Will the stand on Pranab Mukherjee help the SFI regain its credibility? AFP
Once a formidable influence that launched the political careers of top Left leaders such as Prakash Karat and Sitaram Yechury – SFI JNU now stands dissolved on the watch of its best known former members.
Describing CPM’s decision as “one of the most bizarre things to happen,” Aditya Nigam, who spent two decades in the CPM and has served as secretary and president of SFI Delhi between 1982-85, said, “It is not understandable even in terms of their own logic. This goes against any possibility of a future SFI on campus. It is effectively driving a nail into their own coffin.”
“Going by SFI-JNU’s statements, something was obviously brewing. Many of them traced it back to Singur and Nandigram – the land acquisition there and Party’s stand on it. Obviously, it is a bigger issue. It is not just Pranab Mukherjee. The issue of the president’s election is probably only the last straw,” Nigam, a Senior Fellow at the Centre for Study of Developing Societies, said.
That the rupture was only a matter of time is apparent from the statements from members of the disbanded student body.
Roshan Kishore, president of Delhi SFI and among the four state committee members from JNU who were expelled on Tuesday, said, “In the 2007 and 2012 elections held in JNU, SFI did not win any office bearer positions…our review of the election results showed the primacy of political factors starting with Singur-Nandigram, which have been major influencing factors in JNU politics, for our poor performance.
“We cannot defend the CPM’s support to Pranab Mukherjee – who has been at the helm of UPA’s anti-people neoliberal policies- nor can we remain silent on acts like the recent murder of Revolutionary Marxist Party leader TP Chandrasekharan in Kerala. Such political developments have continuously eroded our credibility among the Left and democratic-minded students on campus. JNU has its own interests to guard and we think we should take forthright political positions,” he said.
While Kishore insists that this is not the first time the SFI-JNU has taken an independent stand that opposes the party line, the development has surprised those who have been keenly watching Left politics.
“This is both significant and surprising. Considering that the SFI in JNU is seen as the fourth bastion of the CPM after West Bengal, Kerala and Tripura and that the top leadership comes from there, the SFI has never taken a position that has been a radical departure from the larger position of the CPM,” said
Amit Sengupta, former president of the JNU students union and currently Executive Editor, Hard News magazine.
“Even when ruptures like the Tiananmen Square massacre or later the human rights violations in Tibet or in recent times Lalgarh, Singur-Nandigram happened, SFI unit in JNU or SFI units elsewhere have just followed the party line,” he said.
“This, therefore, is a positive and significant development in the history of SFI. We should appreciate the fact that they have shown courage and defied the ossified leadership of Prakash Karat. That they are creating a new intellectual culture is very good sign,” Sengupta said.
The SFI-JNU’s venture into unchartered waters has even won it praise and an open invitation from its arch political rival, the ultra-left All India Students Association, which controls the JNU students union.
“We have been raising our voice against the policies of the CPM and how it is harming the Left movement. If now SFI-JNU is raising these issues, it is a welcome development. But the criticism so far has been partial. And partial criticism doesn’t lead anywhere. We hope that SFI-JNU will take its criticism of the CPM to its logical conclusion. And if there is space for a united battle with the radical left, we welcome them for a united battle,” said Sucheta De, president of the JNU students union.
But not everyone is as optimistic about SFI-JNU’s newfound status. Premjish Achari, a PhD student at JNU’s School of Art and Aesthetics, believes it is too little, too late.
“There was a general resentment on campus for Left organizations’ support for Pranab Mukherjee. SFI reflected on that and took this decision. But they raised the issue much after other left organizations took it up. It was a late comer… SFI’s blind defense of CPM’s politics, starting with Singur-Nandigram, has led to their isolation on campus. Now it is introspection time for them. But it is too late. It should have happened much earlier,” said Achari, who grew up in Kerala and has seen firsthand the violent politics of SFI.
What the impact of SFI-JNU’s dissolution will be on Left politics in JNU is a developing story.
For now, the disbanded unit has said that it will continue to function as SFI-JNU and has appealed to SFI members to build pressure on the central leadership to reverse its decision.
When asked if these developments had re-invigorated the student body and marked a new beginning, Kishore said, “Yes, we think so. The students of JNU have continued to vote on the Left plank and when we have taken a principled position we are hopeful that the students of JNU will stand by us and will give us strength. The SFI- JNU is going to go from strength to strength.”

Guwahati Outrage: Mob Molests Girl, Caught On Camera


Three of the molesters were arrested on the basis of the video footage.

A minor girl was molested, groped at and beaten up by a mob for half an hour in full public glare in Guwahati on Monday night,  and police have arrested three persons based on video footage put out by a television news crew that filmed the shocking incident.

The outrage happened on GS Road in the Christian Basti area of Guwahati. The girl, a class 11 student, was set upon by a group of young men when she was about to return home from a party in a city bar. Evidently, the girl had had an altercation with one of the men who had passed an obscene remark at her.

As a huge mob watched without making the slightest attempt to intervene, the 20-or-so men groped her,  ripped off some of her clothes, beat her – and teased and taunted her for drinking. From eyewitness accounts, it appears that the mob molested her for about half an hour; some passersby appear to have joined in groping her.

A camera crew from Newslive, a local television station arrived at the scene, and filmed parts of the outrageous attack. (The two-part video is available here and here.)

After the video clips went viral on the Internet, police were forced into action. Over the course of two days – Wednesday and Thursday – they arrested three persons, whom they identified on the basis of  the video footage, and are on the hunt for others who are absconding.

Newslive reported that one of the molesters (who is absconding) had been identified as Amar Jyoti Kalita, an employee of the state government-run IT agency Amtron. Authorities at Amtron had sacked Kalita and had filed an FIR against him, it added.

Kalita was identified by matching the video footage from the incident with his Facebook profile, where he had posted a photograph of himself, evidently from the night of the incident.

The fact that the television news crew filmed the molestation without intervening to help the girl gave rise to some criticism, but Atanu Bhuyan, editor-in-chief of Newslive, defended his team’s action by noting that they had helped to identify and arrest the culprits.

On his Twitter feed, Bhuyan said:

“Mainstream news channels are flooding me with phone calls asking for the footage of the molestation incident. Some of them questioned me as to why my reporter and camera person shot the incident and didn’t prevent the mob from molesting the girl. But I’m backing my team since the mob would have attacked them, prevented them from shooting, that would have only destroyed all evidence.”

Bhuyan further said: “My reporters informed the police, who saved the girl before it was too late.” His justification of his team’s action, he added, was “very simple. In case of a bomb blast, my reporters would have shot the visuals rather than donate blood.”

Had his team not not filmed the molestation incident, “the molesters would have been roaming scot-free,” he pointed out.

Assam Director General of Policy (DGP) Jayanto N Choudhury told CNN-IBN (here) that the video shot by the television crew had “provided vital evidence about the accused people”, on the basis of which a charge-sheet would be filed in the case.

According to the latest statistics put out by the National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB), Assam recorded the second highest rate of crimes against women – at 36.9 percent in 2011, only 0.1 percent behind Tripura, which topped the charts. (The rate of crimes against women is an index of the number of crimes against women for every one lakh population.)

Northeast’s Reverse Racism

If you thought discrimination was the prerogative of those living in the ‘mainland’, think again. Avalok Langer profiles the tortured lives of Shillong’s shrinking band of outsiders
‘We were constantly reminded that we are outsiders. There were unwritten rules for what we could or couldn’t do’
ABHINAV BHATTACHARYA*, 27
BENGALI
SHE WAS an outsider from the moment she walked in. A nervous smile crept across her face as she was greeted by my friend. As we attempted to escape the Delhi winter by a bonfire, my friend learnt that she was from Nagaland and worked as a producer with a television channel. In an attempt to probe further, he enquired with a deadpan stare, “So, how does it work, do you need a work visa to be here in Delhi?” Dumbfounded, she gave me a quizzical look. Realising his mistake, my friend tried to ‘correct’ himself: “I’m so sorry, I was confusing Nagaland with Arunachal.”

‘When something goes wrong, you want to pass the buck. A tribal won’t attack another tribal, he’ll target the weaker section’
ARJUN KRIPLANI*, 31 SINDHI BUSINESSMAN
The Northeast exists outside the conscious mindspace of the average Indian and “chinki” is how people in the ‘mainland’ often greet visitors from this region. Ignorance, coupled with racial insensitivity, has created a vicious cycle of racial discrimination. Made to feel like outsiders in the mainland, many tribals opt to go back home and then target the non-tribals — ‘dkhars’ in Shillong, ‘mayangs’ in Manipur, ‘bangars’ in the Garo Hills, ‘bhais’ in Mizoram and ‘plain mannu’ in Nagaland.
Shillong, the capital of Meghalaya, is where the good times roll on. But there is a dark and scary side to India’s rock capital. The ethnic tension that led to the state’s creation out of Greater Assam in 1972 has been kept alive by vested interests. Tribal sentiment is periodically rallied around the idea of an outsider invasion.
“With the three riots (1979, ’87, ’92), the backbone of the non-tribals was broken and an exodus started,” explains Manas Chaudhuri, 61, the former editor of The Shillong Times and the only non-tribal MLA of the Khasi Hills. “Meghalaya is the only state where in the past 40 years, the population of the minority (non-tribals) has declined by 2 percent every 10 years. When the state was formed, non-tribals constituted 20 percent of the state’s population, but today it has fallen below 10 percent.”
A Khasi lawyer put this discrimination down to a cycle of power. “Post-independence, outsiders controlled the bureaucracy and power. They never learnt the local language or tried to fit in. They would look down on the locals and mistreat them. Now that the locals have captured power, they are returning the favour,” he says.
Shillong was a Khasi hamlet before the British established it as the capital of Greater Assam in 1864. Soon, it was inhabited by British officials, Bengali bureaucrats and Nepali soldiers. As time passed, a bustling town sprang to life around the British settlement. However, the Bengalis, Nepalis, Marwaris, Sindhis, among others who have inhabited Shillong for multiple generations, have now become the outsiders. Discriminated and made to feel like second-class citizens, they are moving out.
‘Whether it was oil, coal or uranium, the idea is to take whatever can be taken, without looking after the welfare of the people’
WAN SHAN*, 37 KHASI BUSINESSMAN

‘We welcome economic immigration but we don’t want that to happen at the cost of Khasis becoming a minority in our own state’
DANIEL KHYRIEM, 31 PRESIDENT, KSU
‘The Centre has given you a state on a platter. Over the past 40 years, the Centre has allocated 1 lakh crore. Is there any parallel?’ MANAS CHAUDHURI, 61 MAWPREM MLA
“I was at my grandparents’ house when news filtered in that our locality would be attacked at night,” says Abhinav Bhattacharya*. “I must have been in Class III or IV, but the image of everyone in a state of panic is still vivid. Before going to bed, we hid chilli powder under our pillows, just in case our house was attacked.”
Abhinav, 27, is a fifth-generation Bengali born and brought up in the Northeast. His father Alok moved to Shillong for higher education before Meghalaya was created. In Shillong, Abhinav is considered a dkhar; in Assam, he is a Bengali; and in Bengal, he is a Northeastern. With no place to call home, New Delhi is where he lives and works as a freelance television producer.
“We were tagged dkhars and constantly reminded that we are outsiders,” says Abhinav. “There were unwritten rules for what we could or couldn’t do, rules that were enforced by violence. We could only live in marked ghettos. I went to a boys’ school and saw plenty of fights. But they weren’t fair ones. If a non-tribal boy managed to beat up a Khasi, it was just a matter of time before we faced a backlash.”
Though both his sons have moved out and have no desire to return, Alok, a retired professor, has remained in Shillong. He lives in a rented house because under law, non-tribals are not allowed to buy land in Shillong, except in a few wards where prices are exorbitant. “The Constitution allows me to settle anywhere,” says Alok. “As a good Meghalayan, as a good Indian, I do my duty to society. I came here when Shillong was part of Assam. But now, they are questioning my right to stay here.”
Alok says that the government and state institutions have ganged up to see that non-tribals are prevented from settling in Shillong. “A situation has been created where lawfully settled non-tribals are forced to leave,” says the professor. “If you check the pattern of municipality holdings, you will see that non-tribal holdings have come down from 80 percent to 20 percent. The issue in Shillong is not of an influx as the Khasi Students Union (KSU) is claiming, but of an exodus… forced exodus.”
However, Abhinav feels that he has a lot to thank Shillong for. “My education has made me who I am. My inclination towards music comes from there. But I will never go back, Delhi is my home now. In Delhi, I get work based on my ability, not my ethnicity,” he says. “The discrimination has reduced from what it used to be in the 1990s, but that is because the non-tribal population has been reduced to such a minority that there is no one left to fight back.”
Born to a Meghalaya-based Gurkha couple, the only home Vrinda has known is Shillong. “I have lived my whole life here,” says the 34-year-old, who makes ends meet as a domestic help. “When the times are good, we don’t worry. But when there is trouble, I feel that maybe things would has been better if I had moved to Nepal.”
On 14 May, Vrinda got a reality check of her status in the Shillong society when the KSU, Hynniewtrep National Youth Front and Federation of Khasi Jaintia and Garo People enforced a bandh, protesting against the sanctioning of electoral photo identity cards to “illegal Bangladeshi immigrants” in the Garo Hills. Two petrol bombs were thrown at her house. “My kids had just returned from school and were alone at home. I was scared when it happened. For the next few weeks, we stayed with our neighbours,” recalls Vrinda.
Though the protest targeted “illegal immigrants” from Bangladesh, most non-tribals became the victims. “We don’t condone violence, we always tell our cadres not to use violence because it takes away from the real issues. But sometimes, miscreants take advantage of the situation,” says KSU president Daniel Khyriem.
But the underlying fear that non-tribals will once again be targeted remains. “In the absence of an adequate mechanism to identify and differentiate permanent non-tribals from migrants, it is only natural for the issue of tribals vs non-tribals to remain alive,” says local MLA Paul Lyngdoh.
But Vrinda begs to differ. “We should have the right to live our lives the way they do — open and free, without fear or restrictions,” she says. “I have often thought of moving out, but I’m here for my kids’ education. I will have to wait for them to finish their schooling.” Incidentally, she has already bought land in Assam so that her children can have a place to call their own.
KHASI BY blood, Indian by accident” was the slogan of the KSU in the 1980s and ’90s. At that time, the bureaucracy was dominated by Bengalis, the business was controlled by Marwaris and Sindhis, and the politics was dominated by the Assamese. They filled the intellectual void that existed. In 1993, with the support of the National Socialist Council of Nagaland, the tribal students movement was organised into an insurgency and the Hynniewtrep National Liberation Council was created. Their goal was to take back opportunities meant for tribals.
Today, Khyriem says KSU welcomes economic migration. “We want economic immigration but we don’t want that to happen at the cost of our community becoming a minority in our own state,” he says. “People who come here to work and send money home are more than welcome. But if they try to become owners or chase us out of our own state, where will we go?”
But what do the Khasis need protection from? Today, 55 of the 60 Assembly seats are reserved for tribals. Eighty-five percent of all government jobs and seats in educational institutions are reserved for them. Since 1972, there have been only two non-tribal officers recruited into the state service. Many non-tribal businessmen have shut shop and moved out.
Many point fingers at the Centre’s faulty policies for the resentment, but MLA Chaudhuri disagrees. “We have a population of about 3 million people and the Planning Commission allocation is Rs 4,000 crore? If you distribute the funds properly, the people will be better off. Over the past 40 years, the Centre has allocated Rs 1 lakh crore. Is there any parallel? I don’t think so. The Centre has given you a state on a platter. What you do with that statehood is up to you. If you have messed it up, the Centre has nothing to do with it.”
So, what is the KSU scared of? Though the influx of Bangladeshis seems to be a cause for concern, non-tribals aren’t to blame for the erosion of Khasi culture. Over the years, there has been so much intermixing among the tribals that it has become hard to find a pure Khasi in Shillong.
Wan Shan, a young Khasi businessman, explains, “We grew up at a time when there was so much resentment towards mainland India. There was a disconnect and the general populace here began to stress on their ethnic identity. It was tough to go against the general sentiment. Even if you are more educated or have a broader outlook, you tend to blend in. At that time, we had to be aggressive and assert our identity, not with just non-tribals, but among tribals themselves, to show that we belonged.”
Cutting Wan off, his friend Bah Dieng says, “If we go for a public function in a metro, they play the national anthem. Being from the Northeast, I don’t want to stand up, not because I don’t feel Indian, but because we are educated enough to know that the anthem doesn’t include any part of the Northeast. Everyone talks of integration, but we don’t feel integrated. The discrimination you talk of is not because of race but due to resentment.”“When China invaded India, we would have loved the country to stand by the Northeast and fight, but that didn’t happen. Jawaharlal Nehru bid us farewell, it created a feeling that the Northeast is not that important,” says Wan.
“Until recently, there was no development or infrastructure. There were a lot of educated youth, but no jobs. We have natural resources but the Centre treats us like a colony. Whether it is oil extracted from Assam and sent to refineries in Bengal, or our coal and soon, our uranium, the idea is to take whatever can be taken, without looking after the welfare of the people. Yes the Centre is pumping in money, but there is no check nor accountability. The creamy layer is using this opportunity to play on sentiments for political gains.”
Before the insurgency, business was dominated by outsiders. However, the armed movement created a false bubble that indirectly benefited many Khasi traders. Outsiders were pushed out allowing tribal businessmen to take up these opportunities. Of course, at a later stage they were taxed and a lot of small businesses were hit, but opportunities were created. Surprisingly, tribals continue to employ non-tribals as managers or in skilled positions. “I’m a businessman, non-tribals have better skills and work ethics. Our people haven’t reached that stage. I want to employ tribals, but if I do, I won’t be able to maximise my potential,” says Wan.
ACCORDING TO an expert who has been engaged in grassroots work in Meghalaya, this trend could lead to a revival of insurgency. “The next bout of insurgency will come from land alienation. Four percent of the land is owned by the government but people are becoming landless; richer tribals are buying up all the land. Those who sell their land shift to other towns. The tribals have to keep targeting outsiders so that the tribals who are getting alienated and marginalised don’t see what is happening. The reality is that they are actually getting exploited by their own people.”
Arjun Kriplani*, a Sindhi businessman living in Shillong, agrees, “When something goes wrong, you want to blame somebody. A tribal will not attack another tribal, so he will target the weaker section.”
Unlike other non-tribals, Kriplani feels Shillong is his home. “What you give is what you get. There is discrimination all over India. When I go to Mumbai, I’m discriminated against because I’m not Maharashtrian. It’s the same in Delhi. People from the Northeast travel outside and they face discrimination and ignorance. You say I’m from Shillong and people think you are from Ceylon. When you return to the Northeast, what do you do? You do exactly the same thing,” explains Kriplani.
For Kriplani, like other big, non-tribal businessmen, in Shillong if you have money you cannot be taken for granted, because you have the power to strike back. That sense of security is fundamental in creating a sense of belonging. Unfortunately, that is not the same for smaller businessmen, taxi drivers or labourers. “We have to be careful,” says Lucky Yadav*, a Bihari taxi driver. “I have been working here since 1986 but I have been targeted many times. I feel scared to venture out after dark. Bihar is improving, I’m just waiting for more jobs to crop up and I will head back home.”
Things are changing in Shillong too; the younger generation has more exposure and a broader perspective. But until the vested interests move away from perpetuating the idea of an “outsider problem”, this ethnic clash will continue.
Though Chaudhuri feels that tribals need protection, he says the Centre had not intended for them to protect their identity in isolation. “It was an unwritten understanding that the permanent non-tribal residents will be looked after. This was an assurance given by the hill leaders to Indira Gandhi before the creation of Meghalaya, but that is a forgotten chapter now. I fear the situation is without hope,” he says.
*Names Changed To Protect Identity
Avalok Langer is a Correspondent with Tehelka.
avalok@tehelka.com
12 July 2012

Mizoram NGOs Call For More Childbirth

Aizawl, July 12 : Contrary to the government’s call for stronger population control on World Population Day, churches and NGOs here have called for more childbirth to stop a “demographic disaster” from happening.

Mizo Zirlai Pawl, a student body, held its federal council meeting today, with one of its resolutions calling for more births. They felt the Centre should implement its policy in accordance with the requirements of each state.

Mizoram’s total population is about 11 lakh (2011), with the birth rate going down every year, while the national population has crossed the 1.21-billion mark with a birth rate of 51 births every minute. The population density in the state is 52 per sq km as compared to 324 per sq km at the national level.

The two biggest churches in the state — the Presbyterian Church of Mizoram and the Baptist Church of Mizoram — have a long-standing policy that encourages families to nurture more children than the ideal norm of a “two children per family”, provided it is not detrimental to the mother-to-be’s health.

“This is what we teach our people. But the ultimate decision belongs to the individuals,” said Rev. Lalhmingthanga, director of the Presbyterian Church family counselling centre.

Mizoram is one of the states where the national population control policy has been the most successful. The state received many awards, including the National Family Welfare Award.

The total number of children (0-6 years) in the state is 1,65,536 out of which 81,571 are girls and 83,965 are boys which accounts for only 15.17 per cent of the total population and shows a decline from 16.2 per cent just a year earlier.

Number Games in Nagaland

By Ankush Agrawal & Vikas Kumar WINNING THE COUNT: The fear of losing Assembly seats to other communities during delimitation of constituencies triggered a contest that blurred the distinction between census and election. A 2008 picture of voters outside a booth in Dimapur 1 constituency in Nagaland.
Photo: The Hindu WINNING THE COUNT: The fear of losing Assembly seats to other communities during delimitation of constituencies triggered a contest that blurred the distinction between census and election. A 2008 picture of voters outside a booth in Dimapur 1 constituency in Nagaland.


  • Competition for scare resources led tribals and non-tribals to inflate the headcount for two decades, but the 2011 census proved different
    Nagaland’s population grew at decadal rates of 56 per cent during the 1980s and at 65 per cent in the 1990s. During this period, the State registered the highest growth in population in all of India. But, as per the 2011 Census, Nagaland’s population decreased by 0.47 per cent between 2001 and 2011. This is the first time that a state in independent India has witnessed an absolute decline in population in the absence of war, famine, natural calamities, political disturbance, or any significant changes in its socio-economic characteristics. And research has shown that demographic factors like birth, death, and lawful migration are insufficient to explain the changes in Nagaland’s population between 1991 and 2011.
    What explains the decline in population after abnormally high population growth in Nagaland?

    Delimitation

    In a 2005 interview with journalist Sanjoy Hazarika, the Chief Minister of Nagaland Chief Minister, Neiphiu Rio, drew attention towards the competitive inflation of population figures in 2001 due to the threat posed by the impending delimitation of State Assembly constituencies. He argued that the hill districts dominated by Naga tribes feared a loss of five seats to Dimapur — the only plains district and the industrial and transport hub of Nagaland — which has a lot of non-tribals. The hills-plains divide overlaps with the Naga-non-Naga divide. According to Mr. Rio, the actual population of Nagaland in 2001 was six lakh less than the 2001 census figure of 20 lakh. He argued, however, that a recount would not help as there were “warnings from village and district levels that in the review, the population will increase, not decrease.” So, instead of stirring up a hornet’s nest, the Central and State governments adopted a cautious approach. To avoid ethnic conflict, the Centre deferred delimitation to 2031, while the State government rejected the 2001 census and concentrated on conducting the 2011 census properly. The State government canvassed the Opposition, the bureaucracy, and organisations of tribes, village elders, churches, and students to convince the people that a reliable and accurate census was indispensable “for (the) proper planning of development and also establishing political and social harmony.” While the government’s participative approach restored sanity to the process of census in Nagaland and is worthy of being adopted by other government survey organisations, the inflation of the headcount in the 2001 census requires scrutiny to recognise the underlying socio-economic factors that encouraged manipulation.
    Nagaland’s small population (19.81 lakh) is divided into over two dozen tribal and non-tribal communities. Inter-community competition for scarce public resources manifests itself in a variety of ways in Nagaland: resentment against outsiders (Bangladeshis), movements for reservation in educational institutions and government jobs, demands for division of Nagaland along tribal lines, and inter-tribal feuds among insurgent groups. Until the late 1990s, hospitable conditions for the growth of the private sector did not exist and the State was the biggest actor in Nagaland’s economy, which added urgency to the competition for public resources. This was manifested more than anything else in the ever increasing voter turnouts over the years, as if the election were a census.

    Ethnic factor

    But when elections are reduced to an ethnic head count, winning censuses becomes necessary for winning elections. The Naga Hoho, the apex tribal council, admitted as much when it noted that the census has been a much misunderstood exercise in Nagaland and that people had equated it with electoral rolls. In 2001, the struggle for public resources took a new turn in Nagaland, when competitive inflation of electoral rolls spread to the census, as if the census was an election. The fear of losing Assembly seats to other communities in the 2002 delimitation of State Assembly constituencies triggered this novel competition, which blurred the distinction between census and election.
    The conflict between Dimapur and the hill districts was the driving force behind manipulation of the 2001 census. The hill districts feared losing four Assembly seats to Dimapur if the Delimitation Commission relied on the 1991 Census.
    Threatened by the possibility of loss of political representation, the hill districts inflated their numbers in the 2001 Census to the extent that the loss would have been reduced to just one seat if the 2001 Census was used for delimitation. Since the tribes were not all equally successful at false enumeration, conflict and litigation followed the census.
    After 2008, when an Ordinance deferred delimitation in Nagaland (and Manipur, Assam, and Arunachal Pradesh) to until after the first census after 2026, there was no incentive to inflate the population count. Moreover, the government was alert to the possibility of subversion of its data collection exercises. Unsurprisingly, a sample survey in 2009 revealed that the population count fell across the hill districts, which had heavily inflated the count in 2001. This was confirmed later — the 2011 census reported a negative growth rate of five per cent in the hill districts, whereas growth remained positive in Dimapur. If delimitation is conducted as per the 2011 census, then Dimapur will gain six seats at the expense of the hill districts.
    So, deferring delimitation to the distant future is not a durable solution to the problem of ethnic competition. The government made the process of enumeration transparent by including all stakeholders in the census exercise. It convinced them that, in the interests of the Naga people, it was taking care to prevent manipulation in the census. However, how long this new consensus among the people on not interfering with official statistics will hold will depend critically on balanced regional and sectoral growth in Nagaland outside the public sector of the economy. With armed conflict on the ebb, this should not be difficult. In addition to the immense potential for tourism and handicrafts industries, Nagaland, being the second most literate State in the country, has the essential human capital for growth in the service sector.
    (Ankush Agrawal and Vikas Kumar are with the Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi, and Azim Premji University, Bangalore, respectively.)

    Crime Upstages Insurgency in Assam

    By Samudra Gupta Kashyap

    Guwahati, Jul 12 : Assam Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi frequently says that law and order has improved drastically since he took over 11 years ago — “People now can move around fearlessly till late at night” — but only insurgency is down, not crime, which records show has gone up.

    The National Crime Records Bureau’s latest statistics place Assam third among states in terms of the rate of violent crimes (number per unit population) in 2011, behind only Kerala and Delhi. The NCRB “Crime in India 2011” report points out that while the all-India rate of violent crimes per one lakh population stood at 21.2, the rates for Kerala, Delhi and Assam were respectively 44, 37 and 36.6. Assam’s rate represents a jump from the 33.5 of the previous year.

    The NCRB defines “violent crimes” as those that affect the life and safety of people and induce a sense of insecurity and fear. Crimes such as murder, attempt to murder, dowry death, kidnapping, dacoity, rape, riots and arson fall under this category.

    Crimes under the IPC too have gone up in Assam, as have crimes against public order. Crimes against women, however, have dropped marginally, from a total 11,555 in 2010 to 11,503 in 2011.

    On the last of these counts, too, Assam’s rate of 36.9 per lakh is far higher than the national average of 18.9. Assam in fact is behind only Tripura, which had a rate of 37 crimes against women per lakh population. Kerala (33.8), Andhra Pradesh (33.4), West Bengal (31.9) and Delhi (31.2) are other states that have a high rate of crime in this category, the NCRB report said.

    The rate of violent crimes in 13 other states is higher than the national average. These are Manipur, Jammu and Kashmir, Chandigarh, Arunachal Pradesh, Karnataka, Haryana, Bihar, Tripura, West Bengal (22.3), Jharkhand, Orissa, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra. Those with rates below the national average include Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Gujarat.

    In Assam, the number of murder cases had gone up from 1,223 in 2010 to 1,321. Kidnapping cases have risen from 3,250 to 3,785. Other violent crimes that have gone up include dacoity (248 to 310), robbery (662 to 841), and riot incidents (2,183 to 2,347), the NCRB said. The only two violent crimes where Assam has seen the rates drop are dowry deaths and rapes. The number of dowry deaths came down from 143 in 2010 to just 35 in 2011; that of rape cases fell marginally from 1,721 to 1,707.

    “Poor governance, coupled with corruption and growing frustration among the youth are a few reasons that have contributed to the rising crime rates in the state. Corruption has been almost institutionalised in Assam in the recent years, while the police have also failed to discharge its duties in the true sense of the term,” said Dr Indrani Dutta, former director of the OKD Institute of Social Change & Development.

    Assam Police director-general J N Chaudhury differs. “Registration of cases is much easy in Assam than a lot of other so-called mainland states. Common people in Assam can walk into a police station without fear. Moreover, with 498(A) in place, the rate of registration has gone up, with people, especially women rushing to the police station with the slightest provocation,” Chaudhury said.

    In crimes against public order, Assam, with a rate of 6.41 per one lakh population, ranked fourth among all states with a rate of 9.09. In IPC-related crimes, Assam with 214 has ranked 11th among all states.